As Syria's civil war escalates along the Turkish border, many in Turkey are questioning the country's involvement.
Samandag, Turkey -
Men sit playing cards in a cafe perched beside the turquoise waters of
the Mediterranean. The craggy peak of Mount Aqraa stretches away in the
distance.
For
much of the past month, the roar of artillery fire has boomed down from
the mountain and along the streets of the normally quiet seaside town
of Samandag, a few kilometres from the Turkey-Syria border, in
southeastern Hatay province.
"[Turkish
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip] Erdogan is trying to make a war," said
Enver Yarci, a waiter at the cafe. "I can't relax any more; the war is
right there."
Along the mountain, war is raging as Syrian rebels - Jabhat al-Nusra, Ansar al-Sham and the Saudi-backed Islamic Front - penetrate the Syrian Mediterranean province of Latakia, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's ancestral homeland.
The assault began nearly a month ago, and saw fighters sweep into the Armenian-Syrian town of Kassab
and deeper into the province. As fighting escalates, tensions have
spiked in Turkey's neighbouring Hatay province. Populated largely by
Sunni and Alawite Muslims - the latter have business and familial ties
to Syria's Alawite community - Hatay has in some ways become a microcosm
of Syria.
In
the villages that dot the mountain on the Turkish side of the border,
Al Jazeera spoke with Sunni villagers who cheer for the Syrian rebels,
while Alawites, who make up about one-third of the population, voiced
fears that Turkey is being drawn into a sectarian civil war.
"We
never used to talk about religion," said Yarci. "But Erdogan only cares
about Sunni Muslims. He is turning us against each other by supporting
the rebels in Syria."
Rumours of involvement
Rumours
float easily across Hatay. Some say that Turkey planned and facilitated
the assault into Latakia, while others claim that Erdogan will start a war with Syria to escape corruption allegations that have hounded him and his closest associates for months.
Erdogan shot the plane down to shift people's attention from his corruption before elections.
- Enver Pasali, an Alawite from Antakya
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The sight of Turkish fighter jets pumping missiles into a Syrian warplane
that strayed into Turkish airspace in late March has done little to
dispel the rumours, while a leaked wiretap seemingly showing Turkish intelligence and foreign ministry chiefs discussing a false-flag operation in Aleppo province has further fuelled conspiracies.
"Erdogan
shot the plane down to shift people's attention from his corruption
before elections," stated Enver Pasali, an Alawite from Antakya, the
provincial capital. "And also to please his friends in Qatar and Saudi
Arabia," he added.
Turkish officials deny the rumours of involvement in the Latakia offensive, describing the allegations as "totally unfounded and untrue".
However,
a Humanitarian Relief Foundation (IHH) truck was stopped by gendarmes
in early January, reportedly carrying arms and intelligence agents
destined for Syria. The IHH is considered to be close to Erdogan, whose deputies regularly defend the organisation.
Analysts
have warned Turkey against portraying itself as a regional Sunni
hegemon allied closely with Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the Muslim
Brotherhood in Egypt.
"Publicly
adopting a profile of a balanced regional power, rather than a Sunni
Muslim one, would do much to reduce any possibility that the sectarian
polarisation that is crippling Syria will jump the border to Turkey,"
said an International Crisis Group report last year.
Increased polarisation
While
few believe the tension in Hatay will morph into violence - the
province is famed for its tolerance - it adds another layer of
polarisation in a country wracked by crisis.
"He
[Erdogan] doesn't like us just because we are Alawite," said Sevgi, a
storeworker in Antakya, who did not want her last name used. "He is a
dictator who tries to control everything. If you disagree, he fires tear
gas."
In
Yayladagi, perched high in the mountains along the Turkey-Syria border,
bearded men speaking Arabic roam the streets, purchasing provisions
before vanishing across the border.
The eastern Turkish frontier has become the gateway to the Syria jihad.
- Jonathan Schanzer, vice president of research at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies
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"Turkey
never gave us anything," said Abu Hamza, a Syrian fighter with the
Salafist armed group Ansar al-Sham, a faction that partially controls
the Armenian town of Kassab. "They just gave us more dead [by not
intervening]."
Turkish
military vehicles patrol the streets, while trucks transport tanks into
border zones. Additional troops have been deployed throughout the
province. Yet despite the show of military muscle, Turkey's intelligence
chief Hakan Fidan has admitted that "the border is not under control"
in a leaked wiretap.
"The
eastern Turkish frontier has become the gateway to the Syria jihad.
Some have gone so far as to deem it the Peshawar of this generation of
jihadists," said Jonathan Schanzer, vice president of research at the
Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD), referring to the
Pakistani city known as a training ground for religious rebel groups.
"This is not an exaggeration. Turkey has allowed this territory to
become a safe haven, a logistics and planning base, and a zone of
terrorism finance. It cannot be understated how important this is to the
continued growth of the various jihadi factions fighting in Syria."
Turkish
officials have consistently denied providing support to armed groups in
Syria, insisting that Turkey's involvement is purely humanitarian. "It
is out of the question that groups like al-Nusra and al-Qaeda can take
shelter in our country," said
Erdogan during a visit to Stockholm late last year. "We have taken the
necessary steps against them and we will continue to do so."
Regional conflict
As
the civil war in Syria grinds on, the conflict has spilled across the
border into Turkey, and violence has escalated dramatically in
neighbouring Iraq and Lebanon.
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Scores killed in violence across Syria |
In
March, rebels from the hardline Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant
(ISIL) opened fire on a checkpoint in the Central Anatolian province of
Nigde, killing three and prompting a broader operation
which saw Turkish counter-terrorism units raid a sleeper cell in
Istanbul, leading to another shoot-out with al-Qaeda-linked fighters in
the heart of Turkey's economic and cultural capital.
In May 2013, twin car bombings struck a bustling market street in Reyhanli, a border town in Hatay province, killing 53 people. Ankara linked the Syrian regime to the attacks, which were widely interpreted as punishment for Turkey's support of rebel fighters.
"Turkey's
permissive policies have inexorably led to the escalation of this
conflict. Specifically, the Turks have not differentiated between jihadi
factions and those without extremist ideological leanings," Schanzer
told Al Jazeera.
"This
can be reversed, to some extent, if Ankara imposes tighter border
controls and takes efforts to purge the financiers and gun runners from
its territory. But such moves are not likely. There is simply no will on
the part of the Erdogan government to do so."
Analysts
suggest that Erdogan's position took shape as the Arab uprisings
brushed old rulers aside - with Turkey taking on a leading role in the
region and solidifying relationships with the Muslim Brotherhood in
Egypt, Tunisia and Qatar.
"Erdogan
has taken the Arab Spring as a kind of avenue to assert its supremacy
in the region," said Cengiz Aktar, a senior scholar at the Istanbul
Policy Center. "As such, there is no chance that he will lower sectarian
tensions in Turkey. The reality is, he does not understand what the
Shia and Alawites are about, and there is no political will on his part
to even try."
Talip
Kucukcan, director of the Institute for Middle East Studies and a
professor of sociology and religion at Marmara University in Istanbul,
says that although he does "not see any kind of governmental
discrimination against minorities in Hatay", he acknowledges people in
the province are "suffering economically" from the closure of the
border, which may fuel frustration in the region.
"The
government previously had very good relations with Syria," Kucukcan
said. "If it was pursuing a sectarian policy, it would not have had such
good relations with Damascus - or similarly with Iran."
Erdogan
retained a significant plurality of the vote in Turkey, with his
Justice and Development Party winning about 45 percent of the vote in
last month's municipal elections. This came after a decade of sweeping
reforms, in which Turkey experienced lightspeed economic growth and
rapid development, largely stamped out torture in prisons, and pursued
membership in the European Union.
Back in Samandag, the sense of tension and anger at Erdogan's policies is palpable.
Yarci,
the cafe waiter, laments the loss of religious tolerance in Hatay. "We
should tolerate everybody [regardless of religious affiliation]. We need
to find that again. But for Erdogan, only the Sunni count."
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